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GOP hope, Democratic worry: Are midterm polls underestimating Republicans?

Are Democrats overconfident? Republicans too anxious? The Post’s pollster answers questions about polling bias and how to read the midterm surveys.

Sources (1)· Oct 8, 3:00 PM

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The Washington Post· Oct 8, 3:00 PMGOP hope, Democratic worry: Are midterm polls underestimating Republicans?

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Gen Z at the ballot boxThis series is a collaboration between States Newsroom and The 19th. Nearly 50 million voters ages 18 to 29 are eligible to cast ballots in November, making Generation Z a prized cohort of the electorate. While every generation has a gender gap, with women more likely to support Democrats and men more likely to support Republicans, Gen […]

The 19th2d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Oh my, how the midterm battlegrounds have shiftedThere are currently 13 seats on the Senate battleground, according to Inside Elections, including the seat of Kansas Republican Roger Marshall, here arriving at the Capitol in September. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Roll Call3d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Massive Hispanic Think Tank Backs John James, Tiffany, Husted and CiscomaniFIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—The nation’s largest center-right Hispanic think tank is backing several key Republicans running for major congressional and statewide offices in toss-up districts across the country in hopes that their efforts in Hispanic communities will mobilize Latino voters behind conservatives in the midterm elections. The LIBRE…

The Daily Signal3d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Election Denier’s Lawyer Reveals Trump’s Chilling Midterm PlanPresident Trump’s meeting with convicted election denier Tina Peters on Monday concerned some disturbing plans for the upcoming midterm elections. Peter Ticktin, Peters’s attorney, said that she proposed that Trump seize ballots from across the country and conduct a hand recount, reports Kyle Clark of Colorado’s 9 News. “It’s a good plan, and I do think…

The New Republic3d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Blaming Trump for your debt? What the Federal Reserve data really exposesFederal Reserve debt and inflation statistics prove current household affordability struggles stem from Biden's policies, not Trump's.

Washington Examiner3d agoWhole story →

Economy midterm elections

Since

The Midterm Spending Bonanza Is Threatening Democracy Like Never BeforeBig money has long dominated American politics, with wealthy donors, corporations, and special interests dumping tons of cash into presidential and congressional elections. This year is no exception. But what’s different is that the quid pro quo of campaign money for preferential government treatment is more brazen than ever before and has become part of […]

Mother Jones1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

8 midterm races for federal employees to watchSeveral high-profile races, including Senate elections in Maine, Georgia and Texas, could impact civil servants.

Government Executive1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Trump promised to lower prices for Americans. Here's what the data shows.Just weeks before the midterm elections, 90% of Americans say prices in the U.S. are the main factor shaping their view of the economy. These charts show why.

CBS News1d agoWhole story →

Economy midterm elections

Americans' Living Costs Are Top of Mind as Midterms NearBloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz breaks down the affordability issues that form the backdrop for the Nov. 3 midterm elections. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg1d agoWhole story →

Economy midterm elections

Mike Tyson predicts 'Trump will win' midtermsFormer professional boxer Mike Tyson popped up at the White House on Friday, briefly speaking to reporters in the West Wing briefing room and pledging support for President Trump. Tyson told reporters he was asked by the White House to travel with Trump to Syracuse, N.Y., for a rally the president is slated to host...

The Hill1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

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Pollster Allocco to Newsmax: GOP Can Defy PollsPolling expert Patrick Allocco told Newsmax that national polls are detecting a genuine deterioration in the political environment for Republicans, but he remains skeptical that some of the individual Senate surveys showing Democrats leading will translate into victories in November.

Newsmax12d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections polling

What Midterm Polling May Be Getting WrongPlus: What will Democrats do with a congressional majority?

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Republicans Are Right to Worry About Ohio: Erika D. SmithHow badly are things going for Republicans in what for more than a decade has been the reliably red state of Ohio? Just ask Jon Husted.

Bloomberg Tax News26d agoWhole story →

Government Jon Husted ohio senate election

License plate reader abuses worry conservatives tooRecent comments by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, both Republicans, reflect a bipartisan backlash against warrantless surveillance.

Chicago Sun-Times1mo agoWhole story →

Technology Ron DeSantis Greg Abbott license plate reader controversy

Analysis: Republicans worry data centers will cost Husted Senate seatJon Husted, the longtime GOP officeholder in Ohio, is being called "the face of data centers in Ohio" by his opposition in the race for Ohio's U.S. Senate

EUROPE SAYS2mo agoWhole story →

Technology Jon Husted ohio senate election

Here’s How Ohio Republicans Fare Ahead of Election, According to Top PollsterThe flurry of polls has increased as Election Day approaches, with Ohio having many “toss-up” races. Despite concerns about how accurate the forecasts are, polls coming out of the Buckeye State are showing that the election could produce many nail-biter contests. On Saturday, The New York Times/Siena College poll on battlegrounds was released, showing a...

The Daily Signal5d agoWhole story →

Government ohio election polls

MAGA voters abandoning Trump-endorsed candidate who is too 'establishment': GOP pollsterTrump voters in Iowa are souring on GOP Senate nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA), seeing her as both too MAGA and too establishment. The Bulwark's Sarah Longwell laid out the finding in a Tuesday article after holding focus groups last week with Iowans who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 but now disapprove of him. Longwell argued the reaction…

Raw Story4d agoWhole story →

Government iowa senate race

Half a billion dollars in GOP spending does little to move pollsHigh-quality public surveys show Democratic Senate candidates tied or leading in Alaska, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas — the same as before Labor Day.

The Philadelphia Inquirer4d agoSources (2)Whole story →

Government midterm elections