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GOP hope, Democratic worry: Are midterm polls underestimating Republicans?

Are Democrats overconfident? Republicans too anxious? The Post’s pollster answers questions about polling bias and how to read the midterm surveys.

Sources (1)· Oct 8, 3:00 PM

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The Washington Post· Oct 8, 3:00 PMGOP hope, Democratic worry: Are midterm polls underestimating Republicans?

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Gen Z at the ballot boxThis series is a collaboration between States Newsroom and The 19th. Nearly 50 million voters ages 18 to 29 are eligible to cast ballots in November, making Generation Z a prized cohort of the electorate. While every generation has a gender gap, with women more likely to support Democrats and men more likely to support Republicans, Gen […]

The 19th1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Oh my, how the midterm battlegrounds have shiftedThere are currently 13 seats on the Senate battleground, according to Inside Elections, including the seat of Kansas Republican Roger Marshall, here arriving at the Capitol in September. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Roll Call1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Massive Hispanic Think Tank Backs John James, Tiffany, Husted and CiscomaniFIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—The nation’s largest center-right Hispanic think tank is backing several key Republicans running for major congressional and statewide offices in toss-up districts across the country in hopes that their efforts in Hispanic communities will mobilize Latino voters behind conservatives in the midterm elections. The LIBRE…

The Daily Signal1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Election Denier’s Lawyer Reveals Trump’s Chilling Midterm PlanPresident Trump’s meeting with convicted election denier Tina Peters on Monday concerned some disturbing plans for the upcoming midterm elections. Peter Ticktin, Peters’s attorney, said that she proposed that Trump seize ballots from across the country and conduct a hand recount, reports Kyle Clark of Colorado’s 9 News. “It’s a good plan, and I do think…

The New Republic1d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Blaming Trump for your debt? What the Federal Reserve data really exposesFederal Reserve debt and inflation statistics prove current household affordability struggles stem from Biden's policies, not Trump's.

Washington Examiner1d agoWhole story →

Economy midterm elections

Since

Scalise: El-Sayed 'Not the Anomaly'During an appearance on Thursday's broadcast of FBN's "Mornings," House Majority Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) insisted Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, a self-proclaimed Democrat Socialist, was not an anomaly. | Clips

Breitbart News Network19h agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Democrats are betting on pastors and ministers in the midtermsFusing faith and politics is almost a no-brainer for many Republicans hoping to hold public office. But this election cycle, 12 pastors, seminarians and former clergy ran as Democrats, with about half securing nominations. Lisa Desjardins discussed more with NPR religion correspondent Jason Derose, who recently spent time on the campaign trail with…

PBS NewsHour19h agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Murphy: Republicans in Deeply Red States Losing Because Iran War VotesOn Thursday's broadcast of MS NOW's "Deadline," Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT) said Republican lawmakers will likely lose in the midterm elections because they | Clips

Breitbart News Network19h agoWhole story →

Culture midterm elections

Can $1 billion power the GOP to victory in the midterms? Some campaigns fear it's too lateRepublicans are entering the final month of the midterm campaign increasingly anxious that the $1 billion at their disposal may not be enough to fend off sweeping losses as the party reckons with President Donald Trump's unpopularity, persistent cost concerns and the fallout from the war in Iran.

PBS NewsHour19h agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Trump: U.S. won't attack Iran before midtermsPresident Trump said Thursday the U.S. will not attack Iran ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections. Why it matters: Trump had been considering for several days resuming major combat operations before the midterms. However, his past statements about his intentions in Iran haven't always matched what he ultimately did. If major combat operations resume,…

Axios19h agoSources (3)Whole story →

Government midterm elections

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Pollster Allocco to Newsmax: GOP Can Defy PollsPolling expert Patrick Allocco told Newsmax that national polls are detecting a genuine deterioration in the political environment for Republicans, but he remains skeptical that some of the individual Senate surveys showing Democrats leading will translate into victories in November.

Newsmax11d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections polling

Here’s How Ohio Republicans Fare Ahead of Election, According to Top PollsterThe flurry of polls has increased as Election Day approaches, with Ohio having many “toss-up” races. Despite concerns about how accurate the forecasts are, polls coming out of the Buckeye State are showing that the election could produce many nail-biter contests. On Saturday, The New York Times/Siena College poll on battlegrounds was released, showing a...

The Daily Signal4d agoWhole story →

Government ohio election polls

What Midterm Polling May Be Getting WrongPlus: What will Democrats do with a congressional majority?

The Dispatch11h agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections

Republicans Are Right to Worry About Ohio: Erika D. SmithHow badly are things going for Republicans in what for more than a decade has been the reliably red state of Ohio? Just ask Jon Husted.

Bloomberg Tax News24d agoWhole story →

Government Jon Husted ohio senate election

License plate reader abuses worry conservatives tooRecent comments by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, both Republicans, reflect a bipartisan backlash against warrantless surveillance.

Chicago Sun-Times29d agoWhole story →

Justice Ron DeSantis Greg Abbott license plate reader controversy

Analysis: Republicans worry data centers will cost Husted Senate seatJon Husted, the longtime GOP officeholder in Ohio, is being called "the face of data centers in Ohio" by his opposition in the race for Ohio's U.S. Senate

EUROPE SAYS1mo agoWhole story →

Government Jon Husted ohio senate election

MAGA voters abandoning Trump-endorsed candidate who is too 'establishment': GOP pollsterTrump voters in Iowa are souring on GOP Senate nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA), seeing her as both too MAGA and too establishment. The Bulwark's Sarah Longwell laid out the finding in a Tuesday article after holding focus groups last week with Iowans who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 but now disapprove of him. Longwell argued the reaction…

Raw Story3d agoWhole story →

Government iowa senate race

Four ways the midterm elections could go, one month awayDemocrats have polls and history on their side. Republicans have money.

The Washington Post4d agoWhole story →

Government midterm elections